Washington — The fight for control of the House in the 2026 midterm elections is underway — long before a single ballot is cast next year.
Texas is fighting to enact a GOP-led redistricting effort that would give Republicans five more seats in the state and help them hold their narrow majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. But it isn’t the only state where redistricting pushes are underway, as California and other states consider similar moves ahead of the midterms.
Typically, states redraw congressional and legislative districts after the decennial census to reflect population shifts. Texas undertook its redistricting effort after President Trump suggested in mid-July the state should redraw for Republican advantage. About a week earlier, the head of the Justice Department’s Civil Rights division, Harmeet Dhillon, had written to the Texas governor and state attorney general to complain that four of the state’s current districts were “coalition districts” — that is, districts with different racial groups that support the same candidate — that were “not protected by the Voting Rights Act.”
She referred to the districts as “vestiges of an unconstitutional racially based gerrymandering past, which must be abandoned, and must now be corrected by Texas.”
Mr. Trump, asked about redistricting on CNBC this week, said, “they did it to us,” blaming Democratic-led states for the unusual mid-decade redistricting push.
“California is gerrymandered. We should have many more seats in Congress in California — it’s all gerrymandered,” Mr. Trump said. “And we have an opportunity in Texas to pick up five seats.”
Eight states rely on independent commissions to craft new maps, which in most cases means they won’t be joining the gerrymandering battle that’s underway. But in at least two of those states, New York and California, Democratic governors are looking for ways to get around that requirement in order to bolster their congressional delegations’ majorities.
In other states, congressional delegations already heavily skew toward one party, limiting the number of gains that can be made. Maryland’s eight-member delegation has just one Republican, and in Illinois, Democrats control 14 of the 17 House seats.
Looming over the redistricting efforts is a case before the Supreme Court that could have significant implications for the Voting Rights Act and attempts to remedy alleged vote dilution. The dispute involves Louisiana’s congressional map, and while the high court heard arguments in March, it set the case for re-argument in its next term, which starts in October.
The long-running court fight began after the state’s GOP-led legislature adopted a map with one majority-minority district, but was ordered to…
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