For nearly two decades, Major League Soccer’s home teams enjoyed a striking edge. When fans filled stands in cities from Miami to Vancouver, they could typically count on seeing their team win about 60% of the time. It’s a notable mark. The Premier League saw home teams win just 45.7% of matches between the league’s inception in 1992 up to the start of the 2024-25 season.
But as 2025 unfolds, MLS home-win percentages have slumped to the mid-40s – putting the US and Canada league roughly in line with English and European norms. Rather than suggesting decline, though, the shift signals maturity: an American league evolving into a globally competitive, balanced championship.
In its early years, the competitive balance of MLS was shaped by the…
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